Since the September polls, things have changed quite a bit. On October 15th, the US attorney General, Eric Holder, announced publicly that even if Proposition 19 would pass, the federal government would still make marijuana illegal. Many California residents may have been swayed by his statement, and also the fact that the state could tax the drug at sky high rates, leaving those using the drug for medical use with much higher bills.
A recent Field Poll given on October 14-26 indicates now that only 42% of California voters support the proposition, while 49% are now against it. Subsequent polls have all shown sizable opposition to the proposition. The most recent was one done by Public Policy Polling this weekend, which showed 44% in support, while 51% were against it. Although the accuracy of these polls may not be perfect, numbers like this so close to election day certainly don’t bode well for those wanting to see prop 19 pass. It is also interesting to note that both candidates in this year’s governor’s election oppose the measure, and so does California’s current Governor, Arnold Schwarzenegger.
