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Hurricane Earl Damage and Projected Path

Brian Krassenstein — Fri, 03 Sep 2010 13:40:00 +0000

Hurricane Earl Damaged This Pier in N.C.

Hurricane Earl has been battering the coast of North Carolina all night long, but is finally beginning to move away from the area. The storm is now packing winds of 105 miles per hour and and has a projected path that National Hurricane Center meteorologists feel will continue it’s northeast trajectory over the next 2 days. This will give New jersey, Maryland, Delaware, and New York tropical storm force winds, heavy rain, and coastal flooding. By Saturday morning Hurricane Earl will be grazing the coast of Cape Cod, perhaps giving them winds that are hurricane force.

Overall the damage from Earl has not been too severe. Frisco Pier in Frisco North Carolina has been severely damaged. Power outages are widespread in North Carolina, and downed trees and power lines are commonplace. We are happy to report though that no major damage has occurred nor any injuries reported. Hopefully this remains the case as Earl makes his way up the US eastern seaboard.

The Expected Effects of Hurricane Earl on North Carolina, New Jersey, Cape Cod, and Maryland

Brian Krassenstein — Thu, 02 Sep 2010 13:05:50 +0000

Watches and Warnings for Hurricane Earl

With Hurricane Earl a strong category 4 storm, residents along the East Coast of the United States are preparing for the worse, hoping for the best. There is no doubt that Earl will have a major impact in some locations. Here is some of what can be expected.

North Carolina
There is no doubt that many residents of North Carolina, especially the Outer Banks will experience intense hurricane force winds at some point tomorrow. By around 8Pm this evening, the North Carolina coast will start experiencing heavy rains and wind. By 1 Am tomorrow morning, the storm should be as close as it will get to the Outer Banks. Winds in excess of 90 miles per hour are possible for this area if the eye wall of Hurricane Earl makes it on shore. Things should begin dying down by around 11 AM on Friday.

Maryland and Delaware
The shores of Maryland and Delaware will certainly experience heavy rain and winds for extended periods of time. Tropical storm force winds are very likely, and hurricane force winds (74 MPH +) are a slight possibility. There will likely be coastal flooding, as well. A Tropical storm warning and Hurricane watch are in effect for these areas.

New Jersey
New Jersey, like Maryland and Delaware are further west than North Carolina, and Cape Cod, making them further from Hurricane Earl. By around 2PM Friday afternoon, Earl should be about 120 miles to the east of Atlantic City, New Jersey. The entire coast of New Jersey is under a Tropical storm warning, and will likely have tropical storm conditions throughout the day on Friday. Hurricane Force winds are a unlikely, but possible.

Cape Cod
Cape cod, is a geographical nightmare when storms come up from the South, since it juts out into the Atlantic. By around 2 AM Saturday morning Earl will likely be just offshore of Cape Cod. It will still be packing a punch as a category 2 Hurricane most likely. Cape Cod as well as Rhode Island, and the rest of the Massachusetts coast is under a Hurricane watch. This means Hurricane conditions are possible. Coastal Flooding and winds in excess of 70 miles per hour are likely in some locations.

Hurricane Earl Projected Path and Warnings

Brian Krassenstein — Thu, 02 Sep 2010 12:45:34 +0000

NHC Projected Path for Hurricane Earl

Hurricane Earl has strengthened over night to a strong category 4 hurricane. The Storm should begin to lash out at the US East Coast sometime late tonight.

Hurricane Earl continues moving in a NNW direction at approximately 18 miles per hours. It’s winds are now at 145 miles per hour as of the 8 AM National Hurricane Center advisory. The minimal central pressure of the storm is at 932 millibars, and it’s location is 30.1°N 74.8°W. This puts it several hundred miles off the coast of North Florida. The projected path of Hurricane Earl puts it about 50 miles or so from the outer banks of North Carolina early Friday morning. Much of the North Carolina coast will likely face Hurricane force winds, as it is still expected to be a category 4 hurricane by that time. It will than track NNE likely giving Delaware, New Jersey, Long Island and Maryland tropical storm force winds. From there, it will likely be just off the coast of Cape Cod by late Friday night or early Saturday morning, as still a category 2 storm. The entire East Coast from South Carolina to Nova Scotia will feel Earl’s affects later this week.

Hurricane Earl Forces Evacuation of Ocracoke Island – Projected Path

Brian Krassenstein — Wed, 01 Sep 2010 13:06:52 +0000

The 8AM NHC Projected Path for Hurricane Earl

As Hurricane Earl continues brewing in the Western Atlantic, authorities on the Outer Banks of North Carolina are beginning to evacuate Ocracoke Island via ferry. Ocracoke Island, which is filled with close to 5,000 people on vacation, is only accessible via ferry, making it extremely dangerous should a hurricane get close, since after a certain point it is impossible to leave.

Hurricane Earl remains a major hurricane this morning, as it moves northwest at about 16 miles per hour. The national Hurricane Center has revised their projected path slightly to the west since yesterday, indicating that the Outer Banks of NC may experience strong hurricane force winds. The path takes it just offshore of the Outer Banks sometime early Friday morning, as still a major hurricane. It’s forward speed should pick up there after, placing Earl somewhere east of Cape Cod by early Saturday morning. Please see the 8am NHC projected path inset above. All interests along the US East Coast need to pay close attention to any changes made to the projected path over the next 24-48 hours.

Projected Paths for Hurricane Earl and Tropical Storm Fiona

Brian Krassenstein — Tue, 31 Aug 2010 13:16:00 +0000

An Enhanced Satellite View of Fiona and Earl

If it seems that the Atlantic is giving birth to a new tropical cyclone every other day, you aren’t imagining things. Now that Danielle is out of the picture, Hurricane Earl and Tropical Storm Fiona are in play.

Hurricane Earl is still a category 4 hurricane with winds up to 135 miles per hour. It is slowly moving to the WNW at 13 miles per hour, and is expected to remain a major hurricane for days to come. Right now the expected path of Earl is one which will bring it about 150 miles east of the Northern Bahamas by Thursday Morning. Next Earl turns a bit more northward, placing it somewhere off the coast of the Out Banks of NC by Friday morning. It’s still too early to tell just how close it gets, and whether it makes landfall in North Carolina on Friday. It will then skirt along the coast of the Mid-Atlantic and New England, and by Saturday morning be somewhere off of Cape Cod. The cone of error is very large by this time, so whether Cape Cod gets a full blown hurricane, or just squalls is yet to be seen. It will then race into Nova Scotia, as likely a category 1 or 2 hurricane.

Tropical Storm Fiona is located about 800 miles west of Earl. For now the main concern should be directed towards Major Hurricane Earl, however this tropical storm will likely be several hundred miles from the US East Coast come Saturday morning, possibly stalled. From there, it is anyone’s guess where it goes. Out to seas, into Florida, into the Carolina’s, or up the East Coast are all possibility.

Tropical Storm Fiona Forms, Hurricane Earl Now Category 4

Brian Krassenstein — Mon, 30 Aug 2010 23:05:58 +0000

Tropical Storm Fiona, Behind Hurricane Earl

What a busy day for the National Hurricane Center. Today, not only has Hurricane Earl increased in strength by 2 categories, but the 6th tropical storm of the season has also formed. Currently we have 3 tropical cyclones in the Atlantic with Danielle, Earl, and now Tropical Storm Fiona.

Tropical Storm Fiona has formed about 600 miles to the east of Earl. It has winds of 40 miles per hour, and is moving west at a rapid speed of 24 miles per hour. The longer term path of Fiona will depend a lot on what Hurricane Earl does, however the National Hurricane Center has it well East of the Bahamas, moving northwest on Saturday afternoon. From there, it seems to possibly stall or even change directions. Right now it is much too early to guess where it will be 6 or 7 days down the road.

Hurricane Earl now is a category 4 storm with winds up to 135 miles per hour. The NHC track for Earl remains the same, with it staying off the coast of the US moving up and possibly making landfall in Nova Scotia.

Elsewhere in the tropics there is still yet another rather well organized wave behind Fiona, which too needs to be watched.

Hurricane Earl Now a Major Hurricance, Tropical Storm Warning for Puerto Rico

Brian Krassenstein — Mon, 30 Aug 2010 15:37:59 +0000

Earl is now a Major Hurricane

Hurricane Earl continues to intensify rapidly. As of the 11am National Hurricane Center Advisory, Earl has become a Major Hurricane, with winds now at 120 miles per hour. Further intensification is also expected over the next few days by the NHC.

Due to the proximity to Puerto Rico, and Earl’s projected path, the NHC has issued a tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch for the entire island of Puerto Rico. Meteorologists predict that Puerto Rico may receive upwards of 8 inches of rain from the storm, and in some isolated areas over a foot.

As Earl moves WNW over the next day, and eventually more NW in the next 2-3 days, the entire East Coast of the United States may feel some affects from the hurricane. Although the official projected path of Hurricane Earl is off the coast of the US, this far out, predictions are not too accurate. This means that anyone living along the coast from South Carolina all the way up to Nova Scotia, need to monitor this storm carefully over the next 3-4 days.

Hurricane Earl Projected Path Towards New England

Brian Krassenstein — Mon, 30 Aug 2010 12:55:33 +0000

The Projected Path of Hurricane Earl as of 8 AM

Hurricane Earl is quickly becoming a very powerful storm. As of the 8:00 Am National Hurricane Center Advisory, Earl is now a powerful category 2 hurricane, with winds reaching 110 miles per hour. It is moving in a WNW direction at 14 miles per hour, and has a minimum central pressure of 965 millibars. The current location puts it very close to the Northern Leeward Islands, at 18.4°N 62.9°W.

Late tonight and early tomorrow morning, the storm should pass about 50-100 miles north of Puerto Rico. It will then slowly move in a northwest direction for the next 2-3 days, getting fairly close to the shores of North Carolina by Late Thursday night. By Friday evening or early Saturday morning, Hurricane Earl should be off the coast of Cape Cod. Right now, the NHC cone of error has parts of North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New York, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Hampshire, Massachusetts and Maine all in it. This means that according to computer model forecasts, the storm could directly impact these areas. Having said this, the official projected path that the NHC is putting out would have Earl missing the US East Coast by about 100-150 miles. All interests on the East Coast should pay attention over the next few days.

Hurricane Earl Threat to US East Coast? Projected Path

Brian Krassenstein — Sun, 29 Aug 2010 13:18:56 +0000

Several Computer Model Tracks for Hurricane Earl

The tropics are really brewing out in the Atlantic this weekend. As Hurricane Danielle moves off into the open ocean, affecting very little in terms of land, we have a New Hurricane on our Hands. As of the 8:30 AM National Hurricane Center advisory, Tropical Storm Earl was upgraded to a minimal hurricane.

Top winds are at 75 miles per hour, and it is moving west at 18 miles per hour. A Hurricane warning is posted for the Northern Leeward Islands and a hurricane watch is posted for Puerto Rico, as Hurricane Earl is projected to track just north of that area. Many people living on the East Coast of the US, including Florida, the Carolina’s and New England have been worried that Hurricane Earl may track their way. Right now the NHC predicts a path that will Take Earl approximately 150 miles off the coast of the Outer Banks of North Carolina. What residents of the East Coast need to realize though is that the cone of error, 5 days out, can be extremely large. Even according to the NHC, the shores of North Carolina, Virgina, and Maryland remain in this cone.

All Residents along the East coast should keep one eye on the storm this week, as any shifts in it’s forecast path could result in quite a surprise. Although right now, best guests have the storm veering out to sea before reaching shore in the US, hurricane tracks can be very difficult to forecast accurately.